Be careful about getting too excited over new midterm polls. Apply your tempered expctations to congressional polls in general. Current polls show Americans find Congress to be as popular as cancer, or worse, baristas who get your name wrong at Starbucks. Despite your burned half-calf decaf soy latte, most congresspeople get reelected because everyone loves their own Congressman. It’s just the other guys who suck. Am I right?!
But this poll is going to send Democrats to the nearest safe space.
Nationwide, Trump has a 41 percent approval rating, and Democrats have a 53-42 percent edge in the generic ballot for the House.
Make sense. Unpopular president. Majority of the country opposes his party. This is normal, and usually happens in the first midterm election after a new president is elected. Okay? Okay. So hold your panic horses for my explanation.
Conventional wisdom flips on its head when looking at battleground districts that will decide who controls Congress next year. Read it and weep:
But inside the 66 districts that are tossups, or only leaning toward one party or the other — the majority makers, or breakers — that [Democrat] lead evaporates into a 46-47 Democrats v. Republicans race.
Oh snap, dats bad.
It’s a similar dynamic — driven by Democratic strength in cities, and weaknesses in rural areas — that is driving House and Senate forecasts in opposite directions, amid a campaign close set to be dominated by the president.
It appears leftists only appealing to their rabid urbanite base, while the media broadcasts the unhinged lunacy to the rest of America, wasn’t as brilliant as Ziploc bags. But is as brilliant as Warren bragging about her native heritage, which is actually lower than the common American.
The above poll isn’t the first poll to spoil Democrats’ wet dream of a big blue wave (see Multiple Pollsters: Yeah, About the Blue Wave Democrats Were Hoping For and CBS Pollster Casts Doubt on Democratic ‘Blue Wave’ in Midterm Elections).
It’s safer to throw ten dollars on the ground than to bet which way Congress will tilt. We’re in new territory with Trump and what’s turning out to be the GOP 2.0. What’ll happen in November is anyone’s guess.
But if I’m a Democrat strategist reading this new poll, I’m Irishing up my coffee. After sorting through the name misspellings on the Starbucks’ cups.