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ShowNovember 24, 2020
SHOW NOTES: Calling All Patriots to Disobey!
Steven first reviews how the polls got 2020 so wrong. He then turns to the Democrats' renewed calls for lockdowns, and their war on family gatherings at Thanksgiving.
CALLING ALL PATRIOTS TO DISOBEY!! | Good Morning #MugClubwww.youtube.com
ACTS OF CIVIL DISOBEDIENCE!
- Buffalo business owners stood up to New York Governor Andrew Cuomo's lockdown orders and chased out the sheriff and the health department. SOURCE: YouTube
- Protesters in Huntington Beach protested California's overnight COVID-19 curfew. SOURCE: Twitter
- Polish-American compares lockdowns to communism in Eastern Europe. SOURCE: Twitter
- Berlin anti-lockdown protest. SOURCE: Twitter
- Michigan car protest. SOURCE: Twitter
- Secret Jewish wedding with thousands of maskless people. SOURCE: NYPOST
- John MacArthur's church in Los Angeles continued to meet during the summer. Here's how he opened one of his sermons. SOURCE: YouTube
- Sheriff states he won't enforce Virginia's new anti-gun law. SOURCE: Twitter
- New York sheriff won't enforce Cuomo's Thanksgiving order. SOURCE: Twitter
DEMOCRATS HATE THANKSGIVING
- Some sheriffs said they wouldn't enforce Andrew Cuomo's guidelines against Thanksgiving celebrations. SOURCE: CNN
- Cuomo responded by saying they aren't real law enforcement officers. SOURCE: Twitter
- Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer begged people not to celebrate with anyone outside the household. SOURCE: Twitter
- Anthony Fauci tells people only to celebrate with immediate household. SOURCE: Twitter
- Oregon Governor Kate Brown encourages people to call police on those who violate lockdown orders for Thanksgiving. Violators could face up to 30 days in jail, $1,250 in fines or both. SOURCE: KGW
- Keep in mind Oregon just legalized all drugs from meth to heroin. SOURCE: OPB
- Big Tech LOVES anti-Thanksgiving Covid Lockdowns. SOURCES: Axios, TheVerge, Guardian, WSJ, DeccanHerald
- Google's profits are up, and Amazon nearly DOUBLED its profits from lockdowns while MORE American businesses have been shuttered in 3 months than all of great recession.
POLLS WERE WRONG
- Nate Silver says polls were pretty good this year. SOURCE: YouTube (3:54-4:01)
- The polls understated the percentage of the Republican vote in 48 of 50 states, and 15 of the 16 Senate races. SOURCE: Real Clear Investigations
- The polling miss was WORSE than in 2016. Across Presidential swing states, the average error was 5%, for the Senate 7%. SOURCE: DecisionDesk
- SPECIFICALLY, THE MOST RESPECTED POLLS ACCORDING TO 538 with an A rating or better had them the MOST wrong.
- FLORIDA:
- Trump won by 3.2%. SOURCE: RCP FL
- #1 ranked Marist had it at Biden +4
- #2 A+ ranked Monmouth had Biden +6.
- #4 NYT/Sienna had it Biden +3
- All of them aside from ABC had Biden winning. The "top pollsters" undercounted Trump support by an average of 6-8%.
- IMPORTANT: the further back from election day, that spread looks more like 8-10%.
- Of course, the worst is always Quinnipiac, who at one point were off by 15%!
- Trump won by 3.2%. SOURCE: RCP FL
- OHIO:
- Trump won by 8.2%. SOURCE: RCP OH
- Marist had Biden at +4. WRONG by 12%!
- Emerson wrong by 9%.
- New York Times off by 9%.
- On election day, the top ranked pollsters undercounted Trump voters by 8-12%.
- 3 Weeks before election day, 10-15%.
- Trump won by 8.2%. SOURCE: RCP OH
- WISCONSIN:
- Biden won by 0.6%. SOURCE: RCP WI
- A+ ranked ABC News/WaPo undercounted Trump voters by 17%!
- NYTimes was off by 10-11% on 3 SEPARATE polling occasions.
- The top ranked pollsters had Wisconsin off by undercounting Trump voters 5-9% on average.
- Biden won by 0.6%. SOURCE: RCP WI
- HOUSE. The final 538 projection had Democrats gaining seats. SOURCE: 538
- Even the night of the election, Fox's polling was so bad they still projected Democrats and expanding their house majority by at least five seats.
- REALITY: Republicans have picked up nine seats and are leading in several of the still-undecided races.
- SENATE. In Maine, there wasn't a SINGLE poll that EVER had Republican Susan Collins winning. Some had Democrat Sara Gideon up by as much as twelve points. SOURCE: RCP
- REALITY: Collins won by a whopping twelve points.
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