TrendMacrolytics was one of the few research firms that predicted a
victory in 2016. Regardless of what all the public polls said. That same firm says if the elections were held today, Donald Trump would win in a landslide.
If the election were held today, he’d likely ride to a second term in a huge landslide, according to multiple economic models with strong track records of picking presidential winners and losses.
Credit a strong U.S. economy featuring low unemployment, rising wages and low gas prices — along with the historic advantage held by incumbent presidents.
“The economy is just so damn strong right now and by all historic precedent the incumbent should run away with it,” said Donald Luskin, chief investment officer of TrendMacrolytics, a research firm whose model correctly predicted Trump’s 2016 win when most opinion polls did not. “I just don’t see how the blue wall could resist all that.”
To be clear, this isn't an attack on the president. He's done a lot of good things. Good things I would like to not see go away in 2020 with President HarrisWarrenBidenBeto. If the Trump Campaign can just let the economy do most of the talking, I think we're easily looking a second term.